Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000101 0.000107 0.000113 0.000119 0.000127 0.000135 0.000144
2025-01-19 0.000090 0.000097 0.000106 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000158
2025-01-26 0.000081 0.000089 0.000099 0.000111 0.000125 0.000142 0.000164
2025-02-02 0.000077 0.000087 0.000098 0.000112 0.000129 0.000150 0.000180
2025-02-09 0.000075 0.000085 0.000098 0.000114 0.000134 0.000161 0.000199
2025-02-16 0.000073 0.000084 0.000098 0.000116 0.000139 0.000171 0.000219
2025-02-23 0.000073 0.000086 0.000101 0.000121 0.000150 0.000190 0.000253
2025-03-02 0.000070 0.000082 0.000097 0.000118 0.000147 0.000190 0.000259
2025-03-09 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000114 0.000144 0.000187 0.000261
2025-03-16 0.000064 0.000076 0.000092 0.000114 0.000145 0.000193 0.000276
2025-03-23 0.000064 0.000076 0.000092 0.000116 0.000151 0.000204 0.000304
2025-03-30 0.000062 0.000074 0.000091 0.000115 0.000151 0.000209 0.000319
2025-04-06 0.000059 0.000071 0.000087 0.000111 0.000148 0.000207 0.000324
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000068 0.000084 0.000108 0.000145 0.000207 0.000332
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000065 0.000080 0.000104 0.000140 0.000201 0.000327
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000064 0.000080 0.000104 0.000143 0.000210 0.000357
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.000064 0.000080 0.000106 0.000148 0.000224 0.000400
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000064 0.000081 0.000108 0.000153 0.000238 0.000450
2025-05-18 0.000052 0.000065 0.000083 0.000113 0.000165 0.000266 0.000551
2025-05-25 0.000050 0.000063 0.000081 0.000110 0.000161 0.000263 0.000558
2025-06-01 0.000048 0.000060 0.000078 0.000106 0.000156 0.000257 0.000551
2025-06-08 0.000047 0.000059 0.000077 0.000106 0.000158 0.000265 0.000595
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000059 0.000077 0.000108 0.000164 0.000283 0.000685